Kevin Warsh, nominated for Fed Chair, advocates for two rate cuts in 2026. The federal funds rate at 4.25% by year-end now ...

Iran’s military has declared no military vessels will be allowed through the Strait of Hormuz. The Polymarket contract on a ...

Two Qatari LNG tankers are attempting to enter the Persian Gulf via the Strait of Hormuz. Blockade lifted by April 30 at 67% ...

Anthropic delayed the release of Claude Mythos AI model due to security risks. Release by April 17 at 0.1% YES.

Solana shorts liquidated for $24M as the token surged past $90. Solana reaching $105 by April 13 priced at 100% YES.

Money markets now price an 8% chance of an ECB rate increase in April, down from 15% earlier today, after Iran announced the ...

Iranian officials are calling the Lebanon ceasefire a victory for Hezbollah and the Axis of Resistance. The market for an ...

IRGC is ready to respond to US and Israel aggression. Iran striking Israel by April 30, 2026 is priced at 100% YES.

US reports concealing military losses from Iranian strikes. Declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 7.5% YES.

Traders now see a 60% chance of a Fed rate cut by December 2026 due to the US-Iran conflict affecting oil supplies. Rate cut ...

The US naval blockade around Iranian ports has forced 19 ships to turn back, pushing odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic ...

Oil prices dropped 10% after Trump confirmed the Strait of Hormuz is fully open. Lifting the US blockade by May 31 sits at 87 ...