Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israeli troops will remain in Lebanon during the newly brokered 10-day ...

French blue-chip companies are now engaging with Marine Le Pen’s National Rally, while odds of Le Pen winning the 2027 French presidential election sit at 5.5% YES, down from 8% a week ago. The Le Pen ...

CENTCOM chief emphasizes Israel as a key ally amid US-Iran tensions. End of military operations against Iran by April 21 at 9 ...

Russia-Ukraine conflict remains stalled as ceasefire deadline approaches. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 1.7% YES.

Trump hinted at a Pakistan visit if an Iran deal is signed. US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30 at 41.5% YES.

North Korean hackers target crypto entities after the Drift Protocol breach. Solana above $100 by April 16 at 0.1% YES.

Macron and Starmer will co-chair a summit on Strait of Hormuz security in April 2026. UK warship deployment by April 30 at ...

US expands blockade to target Iran's shadow fleet. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalcy by April 30 at 55.5% YES.

Lebanese civilians breached barriers into southern Lebanon, testing ceasefire stability; ceasefire by April 30 now at 93.7% ...

Robert Pape warns of limited US options, risking UAE stability without policy change. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by ...

IEA warns of oil price spikes if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, but WTI hitting $160 in April is priced at 0% YES.

Congress blocks limits on Trump's military action against Iran. War declaration by December 31, 2026 at 7.5% YES.