US and Iran negotiate a deal that may release $20B for uranium stockpile. Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 ...

The ongoing conflict involving Iran is squeezing European airlines, with effects now visible in oil prediction markets. Crude ...

Hezbollah’s parliamentary group declared a “cautious commitment to a ceasefire” with Israel, demanding a halt to Israeli ...

Trump announced Iran's cooperation with the US to remove sea mines. US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22 at 39.5% YES.

Solana shorts liquidated for $24M as the token surged past $90. Solana reaching $105 by April 13 priced at 100% YES.

IMF warns of global economic risks from the US-Iran conflict. Trump to lift the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at ...

Bitcoin’s break above $77K is a strong signal, but traders aren’t budging because stability above $62K was already priced in.

Iran’s military has declared no military vessels will be allowed through the Strait of Hormuz. The Polymarket contract on a ...

Israel admits disarming Hezbollah needs full Lebanon occupation. Military action in Beirut by April 1, 2026 at 100% YES.

US blockade keeps Strait of Hormuz traffic near zero despite claims. UK warships through the strait by April 30 at 9.5% YES.

Indian refiners pay for Iranian oil in yuan under a U.S. waiver expiring April 19, 2026. Crude oil hitting $90 by June at 0% YES.

White House signals increased military tensions with Iran amid Operation Midnight Hammer. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by ...