Political scientist Robert Pape says U.S. forces are moving toward Iran, contradicting diplomatic rhetoric from Washington.

Lebanon accuses Israel of a ceasefire breach while traders remain confident. Suspension of Israel's Lebanon offensive by ...

Pezeshkian praised Pakistan's role in US-Iran talks, reducing ceasefire breach odds to 9% YES; Iran to surrender uranium by ...

The U.S. dollar declines as Iran peace talks reduce safe-haven demand. Bank of Japan rate cut after April 2026 at 0.4% YES.

Iran-US blockades in the Strait of Hormuz raise oil transit concerns. Trump lifting the blockade by May 31 at 82% YES.

OpenAI expands its TAC program, impacting Anthropic's competitive position; Anthropic's chance of being the third best AI ...

President Trump’s falling out with Italy’s Giorgia Meloni is adding strain to US-Europe relations, and the Polymarket ...

G7 finance ministers pledge economic stability amid the Iran conflict. Bank of Japan rate cut after April 2026 at 0.4% YES.

Trump invited Netanyahu and Aoun to the White House for talks. Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 at 100% YES.

The Pentagon's leadership shakeup continues with the ouster of Army Chief Gen. Randy George. Gulf State military action ...

Anthropic has released Claude Opus 4.7, resolving the Polymarket contract on whether the model would ship by May 31, which ...

Drift Protocol partners with Tether for a $150M recovery fund after an exploit. Solana above $30 by April 19 at 99.8% YES.