What’s often misunderstood about Google’s incrementality testing and how Bayesian models use probability to guide better decisions.

It is well known that standard frequentist inference breaks down in IV regressions with weak instruments. Bayesian inference with diffuse priors suffers from the same problem. We show that the issue ...

The Bayesian set off on a leisurely cruise around Italy's southern coast on a sunny day in late July. The luxurious super yacht − which boasted one of the largest masts in the world and carried a crew ...